Continuous-Time Markov Chain Models to Estimate the Premium for Extended Hedge Fund Lockups

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Continuous-time Markov chain models to estimate the premium for extended hedge fund lockups

A lockup period for investment in a hedge-fund is a time period after making the investment during which an investor cannot freely redeem his investment. Since long lockup periods have recently been imposed, it is important to estimate the premium an investor should expect from extended lockups. For this, Derman et al. (Wilmott J. 1(5–6):263–293, 2009) proposed a parsimonious three-state discre...

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Markov Chain Models to Estimate the Premium for Extended Hedge Fund Lockups

A lockup period for investment in a hedge fund is a time period after making the investment during which the investor cannot freely redeem his investment. It is routine to have a one-year lockup period, but recently the requested lockup periods have grown longer. We estimate the premium for such extended lockup, taking the point of view of a manager of a fund of funds, who has to choose between...

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New Markov Chain Models to Estimate the Premium for Extended Hedge Fund Lockups

To estimate the premium an investor should expect from extended hedge fund lockups, Derman et al. (2009) proposed a three-state discrete-time Markov Chain to model the state of a hedge fund, allowing the state to change randomly among the states “good,” “sick” and “dead” every year. The lockup premium measures the consequence of being stuck with a sick fund. To be more realistic, we propose an ...

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Markov Chain Models to Estimate the Premium for Extended Hedge Fund Lockup

A lockup period for investment in a hedge fund is a time period after making the investment during which the investor cannot freely redeem his investment. It is routine to have a one-year lockup period, but recently the requested lockup periods have grown longer. Assuming that the investor will rebalance his portfolio of hedge funds on a yearly basis, if permitted, we define the annual lockup p...

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Funding Liquidity Risk and the Dynamics of Hedge Fund Lockups

We exploit the expiring nature of hedge fund lockups to create a dynamic, fund-level proxy of funding liquidity risk. In contrast to the prior literature, our measure allows us to identify how within-fund changes in funding liquidity risk are associated with performance and risk taking. Lockup funds with lower funding liquidity risk take more tail risk and have better risk-adjusted performance,...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal

سال: 2012

ISSN: 1556-5068

DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2178914